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Red80
35929.9
39524.6
52710.2
Blue39
30592.2
26311.2
27214.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6520040801001208039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#5
29.90.5
27.828.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
272
#13
14.10.3
13.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
395
#1
24.60.5
22.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
263
#12
11.20.3
10.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
527
#58
10.20.5
8.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
3059
#16
2.20.2
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End