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Red50
341912.7
22653.1
234410.7
Blue9
3544.9
3696.4
37425.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25150406080100120509

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.4
11.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
369
#10
6.40.2
6.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.70.4
9.910.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
3742
#14
5.30.2
5.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2265
#34
3.10.4
2.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
354
#27
4.90.2
5.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End