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Qual 112011 New York City Regional
Red7
20705.0
5556.7
3342.4
Blue22
198913.8
27214.1
25540.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8190304050607080722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#31
6.70.2
3.4→3.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
272
#13
14.10.4
11.4→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2070
#22
5.00.2
3.0→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.8
1989
#4
13.80.4
3.4→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
334
#54
2.40.2
3.4→3.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
2554
#40
0.80.4
2.4→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—