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Qual 382011 New York City Regional
Red17
22653.1
3334.0
39524.6
Blue4
33402.3
3696.4
7436.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813020406080174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#1
24.60.8
17.6→16.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.9
743
#36
6.70.9
5.7→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
333
#24
4.00.8
6.0→5.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
369
#10
6.40.9
4.8→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2265
#34
3.10.5
2.5→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
3340
#29
2.30.9
4.4→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—