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Red31
16602.8
198913.8
31111.2
Blue33
11551.7
37425.3
3696.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111102030403133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.81.6
8.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
369
#10
6.41.9
3.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1660
#49
2.81.6
2.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
3742
#14
5.31.9
5.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3111
#46
1.21.6
0.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1155
#23
1.71.1
1.32.4
Auto
Teleop
End