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Red9
3696.4
5556.7
25793.9
Blue9
123016.1
16350.7
18112.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16180102030405099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#31
6.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1230
#15
16.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
#10
6.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1811
#64
2.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2579
#55
3.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1635
#19
0.7
Auto
Teleop
End