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Red3
30592.2
87012.4
16350.7
Blue0
8061.5
22653.1
123016.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14200103040506030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#8
12.41.0
10.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1230
#15
16.10.9
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3059
#16
2.20.6
2.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2265
#34
3.10.9
3.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1635
#19
0.71.0
1.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
806
#33
1.51.6
3.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End