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Red82
280913.0
33513.3
123016.1
Blue8
341912.7
234410.7
22653.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372506080100120140828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1230
#15
16.10.8
14.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
12.70.3
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
335
#2
13.31.3
10.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
10.70.3
10.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2809
#25
13.01.3
10.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
2265
#34
3.10.3
3.12.8
Auto
Teleop
End