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Red42
36043.5
224624.5
15968.0
Blue4
36385.5
8626.9
323415.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34280206080100120140424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
#12
24.50.1
23.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
15.40.4
15.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.00.1
7.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
862
#18
6.90.5
7.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3604
#17
3.50.2
2.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3638
#10
5.50.6
6.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End