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Red0
35477.9
54817.0
34144.6
Blue10
26732.1
36043.5
323415.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112303040506070010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#9
17.01.0
8.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
15.40.9
18.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3547
#16
7.91.0
0.8-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
3604
#17
3.50.9
1.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3414
#25
4.61.0
2.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2673
#37
2.10.9
1.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End