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Red35
323415.4
261219.7
36572.2
Blue5
37079.4
35703.1
22610.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35140206080100355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.2
14.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
226
#38
10.31.0
10.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.40.2
14.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
9.45.9
8.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3657
#23
2.21.5
1.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3570
#35
3.16.3
8.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End