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Red1
35477.9
37693.6
37714.8
Blue4
36043.5
35680.4
283425.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112203040506014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#16
7.90.9
7.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
25.50.8
19.318.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3771
#13
4.80.6
0.80.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3604
#17
3.51.4
-0.2-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3769
#28
3.61.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3568
#36
0.40.8
1.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End