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Red119
233740.8
46936.9
354810.0
Blue84
258611.3
353932.8
171831.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906902040608010012014016011984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.5
40.440.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
32.80.2
31.932.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
#4
36.90.5
36.537.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
31.00.2
30.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3548
#16
10.00.5
9.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2586
#17
11.30.2
10.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End