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Red39
2449.7
22629.7
24526.9
Blue79
6827.4
31158.9
91022.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63572040801003979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#8
29.70.4
28.227.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
68
#11
27.40.4
26.927.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
#5
26.90.4
25.425.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
910
#9
22.90.4
22.322.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
244
#36
9.70.4
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3115
#23
8.90.4
8.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End