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Red70
31158.9
24526.9
46936.9
Blue13
25910.6
35388.5
258611.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703204060801001201407013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
36.90.5
32.433.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.6
2586
#17
11.30.0
7.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
245
#5
26.90.5
24.124.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
3538
#24
8.50.0
4.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3115
#23
8.90.5
3.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
2591
#34
0.60.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End