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Red9
101414.7
349421.1
1201.9
Blue62
103827.3
15905.3
155930.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253406080100120140962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#28
21.11.0
14.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
30.81.8
16.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1014
#13
14.71.5
7.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
27.31.8
14.115.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
120
#54
1.91.5
4.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1590
#49
5.32.4
2.44.8
Auto
Teleop
End