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Red36
32644.7
260316.4
326215.3
Blue3
6775.0
101414.7
26328.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33210406080363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#19
16.40.2
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1014
#13
14.71.6
9.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3262
#27
15.30.4
11.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2632
#52
8.41.6
7.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3264
#37
4.70.4
7.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
677
#38
5.01.6
5.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End