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Red0
12482.2
37775.5
332410.2
Blue55
301018.6
170816.2
217211.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1033020406080100055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3324
#35
10.21.1
7.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
3010
#20
18.62.2
10.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3777
#36
5.51.1
3.92.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
16.21.3
12.413.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1248
#51
2.21.1
1.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
2172
#10
11.11.3
6.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End