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Red6
26651.6
37775.5
101414.7
Blue0
12482.2
14411.1
33566.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318040608010012060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#13
14.70.6
8.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
144
#45
11.11.4
11.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3777
#36
5.50.6
2.82.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3356
#46
6.40.9
5.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#55
1.60.6
2.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1248
#51
2.21.4
0.6-0.8
Auto
Teleop
End