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Red70
201013.3
225217.5
69516.9
Blue82
319321.8
313832.2
36522.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354302060801001207082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#41
17.51.7
16.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.7
3138
#14
32.22.0
26.028.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
695
#6
16.92.8
12.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
21.82.0
16.018.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
13.31.7
7.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
3652
#48
2.93.4
-0.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End