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Qual 62011 Buckeye Regional
Red18
124114.4
69516.9
13083.8
Blue4
9644.9
359112.3
33566.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287020406080184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#6
16.90.6
4.8→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.5
3591
#32
12.39.7
12.3→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1241
#30
14.40.3
15.3→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.9
3356
#46
6.40.4
4.6→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1308
#23
3.80.6
4.4→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
964
#43
4.90.5
2.7→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—