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Red57
155930.8
359112.3
6775.0
Blue9
145012.9
21977.5
23408.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38270206080579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.0
26.527.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.9
1450
#17
12.91.0
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3591
#32
12.31.7
7.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2340
#40
8.31.0
9.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
677
#38
5.01.7
1.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2197
#58
7.51.0
7.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End