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Red70
100111.3
32016.4
313832.2
Blue6
36522.9
2766.9
101414.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4812020406080100706

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#14
32.21.4
28.129.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
1014
#13
14.71.0
11.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1001
#33
11.32.3
8.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
276
#56
6.91.0
3.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3201
#21
6.41.4
5.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
3652
#48
2.91.0
2.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End