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Red66
32661.0
124114.4
112641.0
Blue2
23508.8
9638.7
32016.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632404080100120662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.5
40.040.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.2
2350
#31
8.82.2
10.07.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1241
#30
14.40.5
14.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
963
#39
8.72.3
12.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3266
#50
1.00.7
2.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3201
#21
6.41.4
7.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End