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Red0
31794.7
175012.5
313.8
Blue2
27233.5
23597.9
32476.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121702030405002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.51.1
5.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2359
#18
7.91.2
7.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3179
#36
4.71.1
2.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3247
#20
6.81.2
3.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
31
#50
3.81.1
4.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2723
#39
3.51.2
4.93.7
Auto
Teleop
End