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Red17
27952.2
27652.7
23955.3
Blue0
27771.8
31691.6
23964.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10750100150200170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#14
5.30.6
4.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2396
#45
4.70.6
5.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2765
#46
2.70.6
2.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2777
#27Sur
1.80.6
1.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2795
#26Sur
2.20.6
2.83.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3169
#38
1.60.6
0.90.3
Auto
Teleop
End