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Red3
23955.3
35071.7
12096.7
Blue0
20046.6
313.8
35933.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111302030405030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#15
6.70.7
4.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2004
#28
6.61.1
4.43.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2395
#14
5.30.7
3.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
31
#50
3.81.1
5.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3507
#44
1.712.8
15.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3593
#48
3.11.0
3.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End