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Red0
23597.9
23984.3
34656.1
Blue2
27233.5
35071.7
34632.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12702040608010012002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2359
#18
7.91.0
6.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
2723
#39
3.50.5
3.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3465
#17
6.11.0
1.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
3463
#47
2.50.5
2.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2398
#42
4.31.0
3.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3507
#44
1.70.5
1.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End