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Red30
35933.1
34656.1
216517.8
Blue0
23891.9
23820.9
31442.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11120203040300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.81.5
9.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
3144
#37
2.40.9
3.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3465
#17
6.11.5
0.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2389
#33
1.90.9
3.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3593
#48
3.11.5
1.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2382
#52
0.90.9
3.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End