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Red60
34632.5
235412.4
28298.5
Blue4
27652.7
31691.6
236913.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17803040506070604

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2354
#40
12.43.7
9.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2369
#12
13.30.4
4.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2829
#11
8.53.7
4.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2765
#46
2.70.4
2.92.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3463
#47
2.53.7
1.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3169
#38
1.60.4
1.81.4
Auto
Teleop
End