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Red24
31633.6
27771.8
236913.3
Blue8
23984.3
23886.6
24356.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132001030405060248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2369
#12
13.30.8
6.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2435
#25
6.70.9
8.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3163
#49
3.60.8
4.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2388
#22
6.60.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2777
#27
1.80.8
3.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2398
#42
4.30.9
4.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End