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Red42
235412.4
34656.1
175012.5
Blue3
33551.1
12096.7
23415.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28220406080423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.51.5
7.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1209
#15
6.70.2
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2354
#40
12.41.5
12.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2341
#43
5.30.2
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3465
#17
6.11.5
4.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
3355
#51
1.10.2
0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End