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Red46
34574.4
24356.7
277317.9
Blue0
23891.9
23431.6
174211.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24170406080460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.91.8
12.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1742
#16
11.11.5
9.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2435
#25
6.71.8
7.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2389
#33
1.91.4
5.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3457
#10
4.41.8
3.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
2343
#29
1.61.5
2.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End