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Red50
27952.2
235216.6
175012.5
Blue13
237313.5
31794.7
35933.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231601030405060705013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#21
16.62.2
12.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2373
#19
13.50.2
12.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.52.2
9.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
3179
#36
4.70.3
1.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2795
#26
2.22.2
-0.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3593
#48
3.10.4
3.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End