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Red68
236913.3
23415.3
216517.8
Blue30
35071.7
23964.7
32476.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22110304050606830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.83.7
9.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
3247
#20
6.81.4
6.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2369
#12
13.33.7
7.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2396
#45
4.71.4
4.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2341
#43
5.34.0
2.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
3507
#44
1.71.4
1.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End