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Red30
23338.8
23886.6
110816.9
Blue53
28298.5
277317.9
175012.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233301040506070803053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.4
15.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
17.91.5
13.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2333
#30
8.80.4
5.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
12.51.5
11.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2388
#22
6.60.4
4.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2829
#11
8.51.8
6.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End