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Red15
27952.2
31442.4
23597.9
Blue1
31607.6
31633.6
23820.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1012020304050151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2359
#18
7.90.4
7.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3160
#41
7.60.7
5.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3144
#37
2.40.3
2.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3163
#49
3.60.8
4.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2795
#26
2.20.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2382
#52
0.90.7
1.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End