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Red35
12096.7
20046.6
27952.2
Blue0
27652.7
23431.6
27771.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1170203040506070350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#15
6.71.6
5.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2765
#46
2.70.5
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2004
#28
6.61.8
4.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2777
#27
1.80.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2795
#26
2.21.5
0.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2343
#29
1.60.6
2.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End