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Red0
12198.9
35432.6
13255.2
Blue18
131028.4
37398.9
366412.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12340206080100120140018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1219
#15
8.90.9
9.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
28.40.7
24.523.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1325
#24
5.20.9
3.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
3664
#12
12.09.9
12.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3543
#17
2.60.8
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3739
#18
8.96.5
8.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End