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Red0
316113.6
3533-1.8
18467.2
Blue8
26342.9
35432.6
37100.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21-010304050607008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#16
13.60.9
13.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
2634
#19
2.90.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#20
7.20.9
5.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
3543
#17
2.60.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3533
#32
-1.81.5
-1.0-2.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3710
#21
0.30.4
-0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End