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Qual 512011 Greater Toronto West Regional
Red72
285211.6
354116.7
37398.9
Blue3
18467.2
37100.3
35504.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2915020406080723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3541
#25
16.73.3
12.1→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.5
1846
#20
7.20.7
8.5→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2852
#4
11.62.3
8.7→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
3550
#22
4.71.0
5.1→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3739
#18
8.93.3
5.7→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.6
3710
#21
0.31.1
3.3→2.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—