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Red15
12216.2
35715.9
18357.4
Blue35
316113.6
8655.9
285211.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203204060801001535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1835
#14
7.40.5
7.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3161
#16
13.60.3
13.113.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1221
#30
6.20.5
6.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
11.60.3
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3571
#13
5.90.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
865
#27
5.90.3
5.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End