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Red11
33791.4
33863.1
262611.3
Blue36
35301.7
124115.3
311713.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2019010304050601136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2626
#18
11.30.6
7.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
15.30.8
11.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3386
#19
3.10.6
8.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
13.41.3
7.68.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3379
#21
1.40.6
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3530
#14
1.71.3
1.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End