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Red32
262611.3
36987.7
124115.3
Blue0
220011.5
15141.5
3532-1.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282301040506070320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.2
12.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2200
#16
11.51.2
16.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#18
11.30.4
7.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1514
#22
1.52.0
1.8-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.70.4
8.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
3532
#26
-1.72.0
5.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End