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Red42
220011.5
26098.1
107521.4
Blue4
181513.8
15141.5
10092.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517020406080100424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.1
21.921.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
13.80.8
11.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2200
#16
11.50.1
15.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1009
#32
2.00.8
2.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2609
#11
8.10.1
7.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1514
#22
1.50.8
-0.2-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End