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Red6
107521.4
26258.5
30401.2
Blue42
9193.4
336010.1
124115.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38240103050607080642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.5
21.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
15.30.8
12.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2625
#25
8.51.5
9.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3360
#13
10.11.3
11.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3040
#34
1.22.5
5.12.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
919
#12
3.41.3
2.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End