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Quarterfinal 4-12011 Autodesk Oregon Regional
Red0
142530.7
20876.5
273322.0
Blue23
7536.9
307013.4
299017.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53370206080100023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#35
30.70.8
27.9→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.1
2990
#13
17.60.3
18.0→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2733
#4
22.00.8
19.2→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.6
3070
#8
13.40.3
13.8→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2087
#50
6.51.0
3.1→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
753
#53
6.90.3
7.3→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—