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Red110
142530.7
273322.0
20876.5
Blue33
299017.6
7536.9
307013.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5335020608010012011033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#35
30.71.0
27.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
2990
#13
17.60.1
17.717.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.01.0
19.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
13.40.1
13.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2087
#50
6.51.2
3.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
753
#53
6.90.1
7.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End