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Red42
15718.4
273322.0
9575.2
Blue59
198337.4
18237.5
36732.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223304060804259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.9
14.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
1983
#3Sur
37.41.9
24.426.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1571
#46Sur
8.41.5
3.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1823
#52
7.52.3
2.95.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
957
#25
5.21.5
6.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3673
#56
2.42.3
3.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End