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Red50
37125.5
292825.5
302413.8
Blue54
25427.1
154030.1
204622.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224704060801001205054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#21
25.51.6
18.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
1540
#12
30.10.5
25.325.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3024
#22
13.82.0
5.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
22.20.6
13.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3712
#32
5.52.0
2.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2542
#26
7.10.9
4.75.6
Auto
Teleop
End